The IDF is using current stability to prepare for a more dangerous future

 

My latest paper for the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Studies looks at the IDF’s priorities. These are based on the military’s assessment of the future of the Middle East.

Right now, truces with Hezbollah and Hamas mean the IDF has the time and space to focus on combat training, and force build-up.

This serves the IDF’s top priority: Achieving a high state of war readiness. That readiness will be critical going forward.

The Middle East of the future will be significantly more dangerous, less stable, and more complex than it is today. The proliferation of powerful weapons throughout the region are part of that trend.

Full paper available here

Research Paper: The Low-Profile War Between Israel and Hezbollah

In defiance of UN Security Council Resolution 1701 that ended the 2006 Second Lebanon war, Hezbollah and its Iranian patron, with the assistance of the Bashar Assad regime, are filling Lebanon with surface-to-surface projectiles, and aiming them at population centers and strategic sites in Israel. To forestall this threat, the Israeli defense establishment has, according to media reports, been waging a low-profile military and intelligence campaign, dubbed “The War Between Wars."

Why the Six Day War model might be making a comeback

One of the biggest sources of dissatisfaction among the Israeli public during Israel’s last major armed conflict, the 2014 clash with Hamas, was the length of hostilities.

Many seek a return to the days of rapid victory, if conflict is forced on Israel, and hold up the Six Day war as the example.

Yet such criticisms often overlook the fact that soon after the end of the Six Day War, a new armed conflict began between Israel and some of its enemies – Egypt and the PLO. This  was the War of Attrition...

 Full post here

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The Middle East is in the grip of a storm, and the old order of the 20th century is being washed away.

New coalitions of state and non-state actors are forming. Several states have collapsed, and hundreds of new armed organizations have appeared. The Israeli defense establishment is working hard to adapt.

Follow my updates for exclusive coverage of developments, and for in-depth commentary. This website is dedicated to helping you, the readers, make sense of the rapidly changing big picture.

 

Two IAF F-35s. Credit: IAF